PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Torino vs Lecce · Serie A

Torino

LLWLD
vsPre-match analysis

Lecce

WLLWL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
11
Expected goals
0.891.02
Shots
9.48.4
Possession
53.8%38.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: torino have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Lecce show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.4 shots/match ▲ShotsTorino · Lecce8.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTorinoLecceBaseline
Shots9.4 shots/match8.4 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match16.6 shots/match15.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Torino have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.8% ●PossessionTorino · Lecce38.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricTorinoLecceBaseline
Possession53.8%38.6%48.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Torino favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Lecce in 3 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Torino5 matchesLecce5 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored5/51 goal/match
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
0.89 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.02 xG/match
9.4 shots/match ▲Shots5/58.4 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 3.4 shots/match
53.8% ●Possession5/538.6%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
9.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Torino
1Draws
2Lecce
Torino — Lecce · Serie A1–0
Lecce — Torino · Serie A2–1
Lecce — Torino · Serie A1–0
Torino — Lecce · Serie A0–0
Torino — Lecce · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness49 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTorinoLecce
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headTorino — Lecce
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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