PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Lecce vs Genoa · Serie A

Lecce

WLLWL
vsPre-match analysis

Genoa

LLLDL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
10.6
Expected goals
1.020.9
Shots
8.411.8
Possession
38.6%48%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: genoa have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Lecce show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLecce · Genoa11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLecceGenoaBaseline
Shots8.4 shots/match11.8 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against16.6 shots/match15.8 shots/match15.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Genoa have recorded the higher season possession share.

38.6%PossessionLecce · Genoa● 48%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLecceGenoaBaseline
Possession38.6%48%48.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Genoa in 5 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce5 matchesGenoa5 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.02 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/50.9 xG/match
8.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 11.8 shots/match
3.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match
38.6%Possession5/5● 48%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/5● 5 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lecce
2Draws
2Genoa
Lecce — Genoa · Serie A1–0
Genoa — Lecce · Serie A0–0
Genoa — Lecce · Serie A2–1
Lecce — Genoa · Serie A0–0
Genoa — Lecce · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness42 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLecceGenoa
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headLecce — Genoa
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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