Serie A · 2026

Frosinone vs Lecce · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Lecce

WLLWL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.81
Expected goals
1.421.02
Shots
16.88.4
Possession
41.4%38.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. The next-strongest reading is weaker: frosinone's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

17.4 fouls/matchFoulsFrosinone · Lecce12.6 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFrosinoneLecceBaseline
Fouls17.4 fouls/match12.6 fouls/match10.9 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Frosinone show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Frosinone's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsFrosinone · Lecce8.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFrosinoneLecceBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match8.4 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against20.8 shots/match16.6 shots/match15.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Frosinone favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Lecce in 3

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Frosinone5 matchesLecce5 matches
1.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51 goal/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
1.42 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.02 xG/match
16.8 shots/match ▲Shots5/58.4 shots/match
5.6 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match
41.4% ●Possession5/538.6%
5.8 corners/match ●Corners5/53.4 corners/match
17.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Frosinone
2Draws
2Lecce
Frosinone — Lecce · Serie A1–1
Lecce — Frosinone · Serie A2–1
Lecce — Frosinone · Serie B1–0
Frosinone — Lecce · Serie B0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness39 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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