Serie A · 2026

Fiorentina vs Atalanta · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.21
Expected goals
1.60.71
Shots
16.811.8
Possession
43.4%48.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 2 to Fiorentina, 1 drawn, 2 to Atalanta. From this fixture's own record: fiorentina's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Fiorentina show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fiorentina's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsFiorentina · Atalanta11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFiorentinaAtalantaBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match19.2 shots/match15.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fiorentina favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Atalanta in 4

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fiorentina5 matchesAtalanta5 matches
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51 goal/match
2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.6 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/50.71 xG/match
16.8 shots/match ▲Shots5/511.8 shots/match
5.6 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53.4 shots/match
43.4%Possession5/5● 48.2%
4.4 corners/match ●Corners5/52.8 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls5/59.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fiorentina
1Draws
2Atalanta
Fiorentina — Atalanta · Serie A1–1
Atalanta — Fiorentina · Serie A2–0
Fiorentina — Atalanta · Serie A1–0
Atalanta — Fiorentina · Serie A3–2
Atalanta — Fiorentina · Serie A2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness39 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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