Serie A · 2026

Atalanta vs Parma · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Parma

LLDLW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
10.8
Expected goals
0.710.67
Shots
11.88
Possession
48.2%42.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: atalanta's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Atalanta have a visible home split

weak

Atalanta's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14 shots/match11.8 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atalanta favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Parma in 3 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atalanta5 matchesParma5 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
0.71 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/50.67 xG/match
11.8 shots/match ▲Shots5/58 shots/match
3.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match
48.2% ●Possession5/542.6%
2.8 corners/matchCorners5/5● 3.4 corners/match
9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Atalanta
1Draws
1Parma
Atalanta — Parma · Serie A4–0
Parma — Atalanta · Serie A1–1
Atalanta — Parma · Serie A2–3
Parma — Atalanta · Serie A1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness43 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 2 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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