PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Roma vs Sassuolo · Serie A

Roma

WWWWD
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.81.8
Expected goals
2.61.55
Shots
20.617.2
Possession
57.6%47.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: roma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: roma have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Roma show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Roma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20.6 shots/match ▲ShotsRoma · Sassuolo17.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRomaSassuoloBaseline
Shots20.6 shots/match17.2 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against9.2 shots/match15.6 shots/match15.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Roma have a visible home split

weak

Roma's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

24.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season20.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots24.7 shots/match20.6 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Roma have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.6% ●PossessionRoma · Sassuolo47.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRomaSassuoloBaseline
Possession57.6%47.8%48.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Roma favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Sassuolo in 0 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Roma5 matchesSassuolo5 matches
2.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51.8 goals/match
0.6 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.8 goals/match
2.6 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.55 xG/match
20.6 shots/match ▲Shots5/517.2 shots/match
7 shots/matchShots on target5/57 shots/match
57.6% ●Possession5/547.8%
5.8 corners/match ●Corners5/54.6 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls5/58.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Roma
0Draws
1Sassuolo
Roma — Sassuolo · Serie A2–0
Sassuolo — Roma · Serie A0–1
Roma — Sassuolo · Serie A1–0
Sassuolo — Roma · Serie A1–2
Roma — Sassuolo · Serie A3–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness50 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRomaSassuolo
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headRoma — Sassuolo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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