Serie A · 2026

Bologna vs Monza · Serie A

Bologna

LLDLD
vsPre-match analysis

Monza

LLDLW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.61.6
Expected goals
1.181.76
Shots
13.414.2
Possession
52%46.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. The next-strongest reading is weaker: bologna's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

14.6 fouls/matchFoulsBologna · Monza13.2 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBolognaMonzaBaseline
Fouls14.6 fouls/match13.2 fouls/match10.9 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Bologna show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Bologna's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsBologna · Monza14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBolognaMonzaBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match14.2 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match11.8 shots/match15.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Monza in 7 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna5 matchesMonza5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52.4 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.76 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 14.2 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 6 shots/match
52% ●Possession5/546.2%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/5● 4.4 corners/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Bologna
2Draws
1Monza
Bologna — Monza · Serie A3–1
Monza — Bologna · Serie A1–2
Bologna — Monza · Serie A0–0
Monza — Bologna · Serie A0–0
Bologna — Monza · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness43 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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