Ligue 1 · 2026

Paris Saint-Germain vs Troyes · Ligue 1

vsPre-match analysis

Troyes

DWLLL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.60.8
Expected goals
2.21.24
Shots
21.214.8
Possession
66.2%39%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Paris Saint-Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

21.2 shots/match ▲ShotsParis Saint-Germain · Troyes14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainTroyesBaseline
Shots21.2 shots/match14.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match13.8 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

66.2% ●PossessionParis Saint-Germain · Troyes39%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 27.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainTroyesBaseline
Possession66.2%39%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6 corners/matchCornersParis Saint-Germain · Troyes● 7.6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainTroyesBaseline
Corners6 corners/match7.6 corners/match5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris Saint-Germain favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Troyes in 0 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain5 matchesTroyes5 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
2.2 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.24 xG/match
21.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/514.8 shots/match
7.2 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/52.8 shots/match
66.2% ●Possession5/539%
6 corners/matchCorners5/5● 7.6 corners/match
6.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Paris Saint-Germain
1Draws
0Troyes
Troyes — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–3
Paris Saint-Germain — Troyes · Ligue 14–3
Paris Saint-Germain — Troyes · Ligue 12–2
Troyes — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness49 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required