PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Stade Rennais vs Lille · Ligue 1

vsPre-match analysis

Lille

WDWWL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.61.6
Expected goals
1.661.32
Shots
16.212.8
Possession
50.8%47.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 1 to Stade Rennais, 1 drawn, 3 to Lille. From this fixture's own record: stade Rennais's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Stade Rennais show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Stade Rennais's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsStade Rennais · Lille12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStade RennaisLilleBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against15.6 shots/match16 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Rennais favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Lille in 7 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Rennais5 matchesLille5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.6 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 0.8 goals/match
1.66 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.32 xG/match
16.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/512.8 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 6.4 shots/match
50.8% ●Possession5/547.8%
5 corners/match ●Corners5/52.8 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Stade Rennais
1Draws
3Lille
Stade Rennais — Lille · Ligue 11–2
Lille — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–2
Stade Rennais — Lille · Ligue 10–2
Lille — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–0
Lille — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness50 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade RennaisLille
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headStade Rennais — Lille
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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