PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Toulouse vs RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.42
Expected goals
2.081.23
Shots
14.811.6
Possession
52.4%46.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: toulouse's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: toulouse's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Toulouse have a visible home split

weak

Toulouse's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.3 shots/match14.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Toulouse show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Toulouse's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsToulouse · RC Strasbourg11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricToulouseRC StrasbourgBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match11.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match17.4 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Toulouse favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 2 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Toulouse5 matchesRC Strasbourg5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 2 goals/match
1.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match
2.08 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.23 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots5/511.6 shots/match
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54.8 shots/match
52.4% ●Possession5/546.4%
4.6 corners/match ●Corners5/51.8 corners/match
16.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Toulouse
1Draws
2RC Strasbourg
RC Strasbourg — Toulouse · Ligue 11–2
Toulouse — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–0
RC Strasbourg — Toulouse · Ligue 12–1
Toulouse — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–2
Toulouse — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness48 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 6 Nov 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsToulouseRC Strasbourg
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headToulouse — RC Strasbourg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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