PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportivo Pasto · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.561.19
Expected goals
1.131.05
Shots
12.712
Possession
47.1%52.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: deportivo Pasto's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Deportivo Pasto's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Pasto's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match12 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Independiente Santa Fe favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Pasto in 2 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Independiente Santa Fe34 matchesDeportivo Pasto32 matches
1.56 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/321.19 goals/match
1.06 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/321.44 goals/match
1.13 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/251.05 xG/match
12.7 shots/match ▲Shots34/3112 shots/match
4.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target34/313.68 shots/match
47.1%Possession34/31● 52.3%
4.79 corners/match ●Corners34/314.16 corners/match
3.9 cards/matchCards10/124.83 cards/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls34/3111.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Independiente Santa Fe
0Draws
0Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pasto — Independiente Santa Fe · Primera A1–2

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness39 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 3 Nov 2026, 23:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIndependiente Santa FeDeportivo Pasto
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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