PitchMath
Saudi Pro League · 2026

Abha vs Al-Ittihad · Saudi Pro League

Abha

DLLLD
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.711.71
Expected goals
0.81.99
Shots
9.8615.3
Possession
47.1%50%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: al-Ittihad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Al-Ittihad's recent record differs from the season

weak

Al-Ittihad's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.71 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Abha favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Ittihad in 8 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Abha7 matchesAl-Ittihad7 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.71 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.86 goals/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.99 xG/match
9.86 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 15.3 shots/match
3.29 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 4.86 shots/match
47.1%Possession7/7● 50%
2.86 corners/matchCorners7/7● 4.29 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls7/712.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Abha
0Draws
4Al-Ittihad
Abha — Al-Ittihad · Saudi Pro League3–1
Al-Ittihad — Abha · Saudi Pro League4–2
Al-Ittihad — Abha · Saudi Pro League4–0
Abha — Al-Ittihad · Saudi Pro League1–2
Abha — Al-Ittihad · Saudi Pro League0–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness49 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 30 Oct 2026, 13:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAbhaAl-Ittihad
CompetitionSaudi Pro League
Head-to-headAbha — Al-Ittihad
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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