Neom SC vs Abha — Stats & Match Analysis

Saudi Pro League · 2026Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

Neom SC

LLWWW

vsPre-match analysis

Abha

DLLLD

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 1.860.71
Expected goals: 1.270.8
Shots: 13.79.86
Possession: 52.6%47.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: abha's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: neom SC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Neom SC have a visible home split

weak

Neom SC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.7 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	16.3 shots/match	13.7 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Abha show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Abha's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsNeom SC · Abha9.86 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Neom SC	Abha	Baseline
Shots	13.7 shots/match	9.86 shots/match	12.8 shots/match
Shots against	11.4 shots/match	12.9 shots/match	12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Neom SC favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Abha in 0 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Neom SC7 matchesAbha7 matches

1.86 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.71 goals/match

0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.86 goals/match

1.27 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.8 xG/match

13.7 shots/match ▲Shots7/79.86 shots/match

4.43 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73.29 shots/match

52.6% ●Possession7/747.1%

4.57 corners/match ●Corners7/72.86 corners/match

11.3 fouls/matchFouls7/710.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples7 / 7home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness41 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Season