PitchMath
Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Ittihad vs Neom SC · Saudi Pro League

vsPre-match analysis

Neom SC

LWWWD

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.751.75
Expected goals
1.891.31
Shots
14.413.1
Possession
50.1%53.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: neom SC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Neom SC have a visible away split

weak

Neom SC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Ittihad favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Neom SC in 6 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Ittihad8 matchesNeom SC8 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored8/81.75 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.89 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.31 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots8/813.1 shots/match
4.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/84.25 shots/match
50.1%Possession8/8● 53.8%
4.25 corners/matchCorners8/8● 4.63 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls8/810.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Al-Ittihad
0Draws
1Neom SC
Al-Ittihad — Neom SC · Saudi Pro League3–4
Neom SC — Al-Ittihad · Saudi Pro League1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness26 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAl-IttihadNeom SC
CompetitionSaudi Pro League
Head-to-headAl-Ittihad — Neom SC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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