PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Boyacá Chicó FC vs Junior Barranquilla · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.811.51
Expected goals
0.791.29
Shots
9.313.8
Possession
44.8%53.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: boyacá Chicó FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. The next-strongest reading is weaker: junior Barranquilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Junior Barranquilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Junior Barranquilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.51 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.51 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Boyacá Chicó FC have a visible home split

strong

Boyacá Chicó FC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match9.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.3 fouls/matchFoulsBoyacá Chicó FC · Junior Barranquilla12.9 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBoyacá Chicó FCJunior BarranquillaBaseline
Fouls13.3 fouls/match12.9 fouls/match11.6 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Boyacá Chicó FC favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Junior Barranquilla in 10 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Boyacá Chicó FC31 matchesJunior Barranquilla37 matches
0.81 goals/matchGoals scored31/37▲ 1.51 goals/match
1.65 goals/matchGoals allowed31/37▲ 1.35 goals/match
0.79 xG/matchExpected goals28/34▲ 1.29 xG/match
9.3 shots/matchShots30/36▲ 13.8 shots/match
2.83 shots/matchShots on target30/36▲ 4.69 shots/match
44.8%Possession30/36● 53.2%
4.13 corners/matchCorners30/36● 4.83 corners/match
3.8 cards/matchCards10/82.38 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls30/3612.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Boyacá Chicó FC
0Draws
1Junior Barranquilla
Junior Barranquilla — Boyacá Chicó FC · Primera A3–0

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples31 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness17 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 28 Oct 2026, 01:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBoyacá Chicó FCJunior Barranquilla
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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