PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Cali · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.141.21
Expected goals
0.821.05
Shots
11.612.6
Possession
52.5%50.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: deportivo Cali's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Deportivo Cali's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Cali's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza CEIF favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Cali in 9 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza CEIF29 matchesDeportivo Cali29 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored29/29▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.48 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 0.83 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲ 1.05 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots29/29▲ 12.6 shots/match
3.69 shots/matchShots on target29/29▲ 4.17 shots/match
52.5% ●Possession29/2950.4%
4.1 corners/matchCorners29/29● 4.41 corners/match
3.6 cards/matchCards10/94.11 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls29/2913.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fortaleza CEIF
1Draws
0Deportivo Cali
Deportivo Cali — Fortaleza CEIF · Primera A1–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortaleza CEIFDeportivo Cali
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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