PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Fortaleza CEIF vs Deportivo Cali · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.131.25
Expected goals
0.821.01
Shots
11.812.3
Possession
52.7%50.4%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: deportivo Cali's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Lineup availability and tactical choices are not in the retained data.

Deportivo Cali's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Cali's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.25 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.25 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza CEIF favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Cali in 7 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza CEIF32 matchesDeportivo Cali32 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 0.78 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 1.01 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots32/3212.3 shots/match
3.81 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲ 4.25 shots/match
52.7% ●Possession32/3250.4%
4.09 corners/matchCorners32/32● 4.31 corners/match
3.75 cards/matchCards12/113.91 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls32/3213.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fortaleza CEIF
1Draws
0Deportivo Cali
Deportivo Cali — Fortaleza CEIF · Primera A1–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness17 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortaleza CEIFDeportivo Cali
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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