PitchMath
Segunda División · 2026

Almería vs Real Oviedo · Segunda División

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.670.83
Shots
11.814
Possession
54%51.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: almería's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Almería have a visible home split

weak

Almería's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.7 shots/match11.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Real Oviedo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Real Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.83 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Almería favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Real Oviedo in 4 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Almería6 matchesReal Oviedo6 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/60.67 goals/match
11.8 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 14 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target6/63.83 shots/match
54% ●Possession6/651.3%
3.67 corners/matchCorners6/6● 5 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls6/612.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Almería
2Draws
3Real Oviedo
Real Oviedo — Almería · Segunda División1–1
Almería — Real Oviedo · Segunda División1–2
Almería — Real Oviedo · Segunda División1–1
Real Oviedo — Almería · Segunda División3–2
Real Oviedo — Almería · Segunda División2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Segunda División

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsAlmeríaReal Oviedo
CompetitionSegunda División
Head-to-headAlmería — Real Oviedo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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