AD Ceuta vs Real Oviedo — Stats & Match Analysis

Segunda División · 2026Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

AD Ceuta

LLDWD

vsPre-match analysis

Real Oviedo

DWLWL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 0.881
Shots: 1214.4
Possession: 44.1%50.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: real Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Real Oviedo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Real Oviedo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1 goal/match	1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AD Ceuta have a visible home split

weak

AD Ceuta's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	16.3 shots/match	12 shots/match	12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.14 corners/matchCornersAD Ceuta · Real Oviedo● 5.38 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	AD Ceuta	Real Oviedo	Baseline
Corners	5.14 corners/match	5.38 corners/match	4.34 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AD Ceuta favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Real Oviedo in 7 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AD Ceuta8 matchesReal Oviedo8 matches

0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1 goal/match

2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1 goal/match

12 shots/matchShots7/8▲ 14.4 shots/match

3 shots/matchShots on target7/8▲ 4.13 shots/match

44.1%Possession7/8● 50.3%

5.14 corners/matchCorners7/8● 5.38 corners/match

15 fouls/matchFouls7/812.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples8 / 8home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness16 daysfrom nearest prior match

Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.

Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Segunda División

Goals per match ranking Shots per match ranking Shots on target per match ranking

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Season

What the record shows