Bundesliga · 2026

TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.752.5
Expected goals
1.742.38
Shots
1922.5
Possession
57%61.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.75 corners/matchCornersTSG Hoffenheim · Bayer 04 Leverkusen● 9.25 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricTSG HoffenheimBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Corners6.75 corners/match9.25 corners/match5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19 shots/match ▲ShotsTSG Hoffenheim · Bayer 04 Leverkusen22.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTSG HoffenheimBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Shots19 shots/match22.5 shots/match14.9 shots/match
Shots against14.5 shots/match9 shots/match16.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: TSG Hoffenheim favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

TSG Hoffenheim4 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen4 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 2.5 goals/match
2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.74 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 2.38 xG/match
19 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 22.5 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 6.25 shots/match
57%Possession4/4● 61.3%
6.75 corners/matchCorners4/4● 9.25 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls4/413 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2TSG Hoffenheim
0Draws
3Bayer 04 Leverkusen
TSG Hoffenheim — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga1–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga3–1
TSG Hoffenheim — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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