PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

TSG Hoffenheim vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.82.8
Expected goals
1.62.24
Shots
18.621.2
Possession
58.4%59.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. The next-strongest reading is weaker: bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.8 corners/matchCornersTSG Hoffenheim · Bayer 04 Leverkusen● 8 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricTSG HoffenheimBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Corners6.8 corners/match8 corners/match5.03 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.6 shots/match ▲ShotsTSG Hoffenheim · Bayer 04 Leverkusen21.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTSG HoffenheimBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Shots18.6 shots/match21.2 shots/match15.8 shots/match
Shots against14.6 shots/match11.8 shots/match16.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: TSG Hoffenheim favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 12 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

TSG Hoffenheim5 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 2.8 goals/match
2.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.6 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 2.24 xG/match
18.6 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 21.2 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 6.4 shots/match
58.4%Possession5/5● 59.6%
6.8 corners/matchCorners5/5● 8 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2TSG Hoffenheim
0Draws
3Bayer 04 Leverkusen
TSG Hoffenheim — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga1–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga3–1
TSG Hoffenheim — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness15 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTSG HoffenheimBayer 04 Leverkusen
CompetitionBundesliga
Head-to-headTSG Hoffenheim — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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