PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Paris Saint-Germain vs Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 1

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.62
Expected goals
2.21.75
Shots
21.213.4
Possession
66.2%52.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 4 to Paris Saint-Germain, 0 drawn, 1 to Olympique Lyonnais. From this fixture's own record: paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Paris Saint-Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

21.2 shots/match ▲ShotsParis Saint-Germain · Olympique Lyonnais13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainOlympique LyonnaisBaseline
Shots21.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match11.2 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

66.2% ●PossessionParis Saint-Germain · Olympique Lyonnais52.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainOlympique LyonnaisBaseline
Possession66.2%52.2%49.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris Saint-Germain favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Olympique Lyonnais in 4 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain5 matchesOlympique Lyonnais5 matches
1.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 2 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 0.4 goals/match
2.2 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.75 xG/match
21.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/513.4 shots/match
7.2 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/55 shots/match
66.2% ●Possession5/552.2%
6 corners/match ●Corners5/55 corners/match
6.4 fouls/matchFouls5/511.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Paris Saint-Germain
0Draws
1Olympique Lyonnais
Paris Saint-Germain — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 11–2
Olympique Lyonnais — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 12–3
Olympique Lyonnais — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 12–3
Paris Saint-Germain — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 13–1
Paris Saint-Germain — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 14–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis Saint-GermainOlympique Lyonnais
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headParis Saint-Germain — Olympique Lyonnais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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