PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Junior Barranquilla vs Rionegro Águilas Doradas · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.521.19
Expected goals
1.181.06
Shots
13.311.5
Possession
53.1%50.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: junior Barranquilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: rionegro Águilas Doradas's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Junior Barranquilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Junior Barranquilla's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.52 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.52 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Rionegro Águilas Doradas have a visible away split

moderate

Rionegro Águilas Doradas's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.75 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.75 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Junior Barranquilla favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Rionegro Águilas Doradas in 3 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Junior Barranquilla33 matchesRionegro Águilas Doradas27 matches
1.52 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/271.19 goals/match
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/271.37 goals/match
1.18 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/211.06 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots32/2711.5 shots/match
4.56 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/273.7 shots/match
53.1% ●Possession32/2750.3%
4.81 corners/match ●Corners32/274.56 corners/match
2.67 cards/matchCards6/92.67 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls32/2710.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Junior Barranquilla
0Draws
0Rionegro Águilas Doradas
Rionegro Águilas Doradas — Junior Barranquilla · Primera A0–3

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 23:10 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJunior BarranquillaRionegro Águilas Doradas
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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