PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Internacional de Bogotá vs Fortaleza CEIF · Primera A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.281.14
Expected goals
1.080.82
Shots
13.211.6
Possession
45.5%52.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: fortaleza CEIF's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Fortaleza CEIF's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fortaleza CEIF's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.4 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Internacional de Bogotá favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Fortaleza CEIF in 6 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Internacional de Bogotá32 matchesFortaleza CEIF29 matches
1.28 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/291.14 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed32/29▲ 1.48 goals/match
1.08 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/250.82 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots32/2911.6 shots/match
4.78 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/293.69 shots/match
45.5%Possession32/29● 52.5%
5 corners/match ●Corners32/294.1 corners/match
3.33 cards/matchCards6/103.6 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls32/2911.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Internacional de Bogotá
1Draws
0Fortaleza CEIF
Fortaleza CEIF — Internacional de Bogotá · Primera A1–1

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness31 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 22 Oct 2026, 01:20 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInternacional de BogotáFortaleza CEIF
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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