PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Southampton vs Bolton Wanderers · Championship

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.571
Expected goals
1.731.06
Shots
15.912.7
Possession
57.7%52.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Southampton favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Bolton Wanderers in 2 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Southampton7 matchesBolton Wanderers7 matches
2.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71 goal/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.71 goals/match
1.73 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/71.06 xG/match
15.9 shots/match ▲Shots7/712.7 shots/match
4.57 shots/matchShots on target7/74.71 shots/match
57.7% ●Possession7/752.7%
6 corners/match ●Corners7/75.86 corners/match
8.43 fouls/matchFouls7/710.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSouthamptonBolton Wanderers
CompetitionChampionship
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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