League One · 2026

Barnsley vs Cambridge United · League One

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
11.83
Expected goals
1.380.94
Shots
17.810.7
Possession
59.8%44.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 2 to Barnsley, 2 drawn, 1 to Cambridge United. From this fixture's own record: barnsley's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Barnsley show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Barnsley's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.8 shots/match ▲ShotsBarnsley · Cambridge United10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBarnsleyCambridge UnitedBaseline
Shots17.8 shots/match10.7 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match14 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Barnsley's recent record differs from the season

weak

Barnsley's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cambridge United have a visible away split

weak

Cambridge United's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.67 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.67 shots/match10.7 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Barnsley favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Cambridge United in 3 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Barnsley6 matchesCambridge United6 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.83 goals/match
1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.38 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/60.94 xG/match
17.8 shots/match ▲Shots6/610.7 shots/match
4.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/64 shots/match
59.8% ●Possession6/644.8%
8.83 corners/match ●Corners6/65.67 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls6/610.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Barnsley
2Draws
1Cambridge United
Barnsley — Cambridge United · League One1–1
Cambridge United — Barnsley · League One1–1
Barnsley — Cambridge United · League One0–2
Cambridge United — Barnsley · League One0–4
Barnsley — Cambridge United · League One2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in League One

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