PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Southampton 1–0 Portsmouth · Championship

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Southampton won 1–0.

Shots
715
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.280.72
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Southampton beat Portsmouth 1–0. Recorded in this match (Southampton – Portsmouth): shots 7–15, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.28–0.72, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Portsmouth's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Portsmouth's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Portsmouth have a visible away split

weak

Portsmouth's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match15.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Portsmouth show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Portsmouth's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsSouthampton · Portsmouth15.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSouthamptonPortsmouthBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match15.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots15 shotsSouthampton 7 shots, Portsmouth 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsSouthampton 3 shots, Portsmouth 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.28 xG0.72 xGSouthampton 1.28 xG, Portsmouth 0.72 xG
  • Possession51%49%Southampton 51%, Portsmouth 49%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersSouthampton 2 corners, Portsmouth 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls15 foulsSouthampton 11 fouls, Portsmouth 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards3 cardsSouthampton 5 cards, Portsmouth 3 cards
  • Passes400 passes371 passesSouthampton 400 passes, Portsmouth 371 passes
  • Pass accuracy82.3%81.4%Southampton 82.3%, Portsmouth 81.4%
  • Shots inside box6 shots9 shotsSouthampton 6 shots, Portsmouth 9 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks4 blocksSouthampton 2 blocks, Portsmouth 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves2 savesSouthampton 2 saves, Portsmouth 2 saves
  • Offsides1 offside3 offsidesSouthampton 1 offside, Portsmouth 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 20′James BreeGoal · Southampton
  2. 32′Cameron BraggYellow card · Southampton
  3. 34′Ebou AdamsYellow card · Portsmouth
  4. 44′Cameron BraggSecond yellow · Southampton
  5. Half-time
  6. 51′Cyle LarinYellow card · Southampton
  7. 53′Finn AzazYellow card · Southampton
  8. 53′Jayden MeghomaYellow card · Portsmouth
  9. 69′Terry DevlinYellow card · Portsmouth
  10. 82′Keven SchlotterbeckYellow card · Southampton
  11. Full time
Player changes · 7grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Portsmouth · 1 player changeAdrian Segečić
  • 57′Southampton · 1 player changeKuryu Matsuki
  • 65′Portsmouth · 3 player changesOdin Bailey · Marko Milovanović · Terry Devlin
  • 72′Southampton · 1 player changeCaspar Jander
  • 77′Portsmouth · 1 player changeKeshi Anderson

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Southampton4-2-3-1
  1. Daniel PeretzG
  2. Ryan ManningD
  3. Keven SchlotterbeckD
  4. James BreeD
  5. Nathan WoodD
  6. Flynn DownesM
  7. Finn AzazM
  8. James Ward-ProwseM
  9. Leo ScienzaF
  10. Cyle LarinF
  11. Kuryu MatsukiF
Portsmouth4-2-3-1
  1. Daniel BielicaG
  2. Regan PooleD
  3. Jayden MeghomaD
  4. Zak SwansonD
  5. Madiodio DiaD
  6. Marlon PackM
  7. Adrian SegečićM
  8. Rocco Robert SheinM
  9. Abu KamaraF
  10. Tyrese ShadeF
  11. Ryan Kavuma-McQueenF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Southampton
2Draws
0Portsmouth
Portsmouth — Southampton · Championship1–1
Southampton — Portsmouth · Championship0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Southampton favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Portsmouth in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Southampton9 matchesPortsmouth8 matches
2.22 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/81.13 goals/match
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/81.38 goals/match
1.72 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/81.25 xG/match
15.3 shots/matchShots9/815.4 shots/match
4.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/84.13 shots/match
57.9% ●Possession9/852.8%
5.22 corners/matchCorners9/8● 6.63 corners/match
8.56 fouls/matchFouls9/812 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSouthamptonPortsmouth
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headSouthampton — Portsmouth
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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