PitchMath
Premier League · 2026

CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moscow · Premier League

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.671.11
Shots
14.78.67
Possession
51.8%44.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: rodina Moscow's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: CSKA Moscow's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Rodina Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Rodina Moscow's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CSKA Moscow show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

CSKA Moscow's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsCSKA Moscow · Rodina Moscow8.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCSKA MoscowRodina MoscowBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match8.67 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against12.6 shots/match20.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CSKA Moscow favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Rodina Moscow in 0 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CSKA Moscow9 matchesRodina Moscow9 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91.11 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed9/92.44 goals/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots9/98.67 shots/match
5.11 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/92.89 shots/match
51.8% ●Possession9/944.1%
4.33 corners/match ●Corners9/93.89 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls9/914.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness25 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsCSKA MoscowRodina Moscow
CompetitionPremier League
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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