La Liga · 2026

Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético Madrid · La Liga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.572.33
Expected goals
1.31.58
Shots
12.416.8
Possession
42.1%56.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 1 to Deportivo Alavés, 2 drawn, 2 to Atlético Madrid. From this fixture's own record: atlético Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Atlético Madrid have a visible away split

weak

Atlético Madrid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season16.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match16.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atlético Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atlético Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsDeportivo Alavés · Atlético Madrid16.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo AlavésAtlético MadridBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match16.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match10.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Atlético Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.1%PossessionDeportivo Alavés · Atlético Madrid● 56.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo AlavésAtlético MadridBaseline
Possession42.1%56.5%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Alavés favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 11 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Alavés7 matchesAtlético Madrid6 matches
1.57 goals/matchGoals scored7/6▲ 2.33 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/61 goal/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals7/6▲ 1.58 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots7/6▲ 16.8 shots/match
4.43 shots/matchShots on target7/6▲ 6 shots/match
42.1%Possession7/6● 56.5%
4.29 corners/matchCorners7/6● 5.33 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls7/611.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Deportivo Alavés
2Draws
2Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga1–0
Deportivo Alavés — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–1
Deportivo Alavés — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–0
Atlético Madrid — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga2–1
Deportivo Alavés — Atlético Madrid · La Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness25 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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