PitchMath
La Liga · 2026

Deportivo Alavés 1–2 Atlético Madrid · La Liga

1–2Pre-match analysis

Match at a glance

Atlético Madrid won 1–2.

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 1 to Deportivo Alavés, 2 drawn, 2 to Atlético Madrid. From this fixture's own record: atlético Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Atlético Madrid have a visible away split

weak

Atlético Madrid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season17 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match17 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atlético Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Atlético Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsDeportivo Alavés · Atlético Madrid17 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo AlavésAtlético MadridBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match17 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match9.86 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Atlético Madrid have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.1%PossessionDeportivo Alavés · Atlético Madrid● 57.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo AlavésAtlético MadridBaseline
Possession42.1%57.1%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Deportivo Alavés5-3-2
  1. Antonio SiveraG
  2. Nicolás ValentiniD
  3. Ángel PérezD
  4. Nahuel TenagliaD
  5. Jonny OttoD
  6. Abderrahman RebbachD
  7. Denis SuárezM
  8. Antonio BlancoM
  9. Pablo IbáñezM
  10. Mariano DíazF
  11. Toni MartínezF
Atlético Madrid4-2-3-1
  1. Jan OblakG
  2. Dávid HanckoD
  3. Marc PubillD
  4. Cristian RomeroD
  5. Alejandro GrimaldoD
  6. Johnny CardosoM
  7. Alex BaenaM
  8. Marcos LlorenteM
  9. Ademola LookmanF
  10. Jonathan DavidF
  11. Giuliano SimeoneF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Deportivo Alavés
2Draws
2Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga1–0
Deportivo Alavés — Atlético Madrid · La Liga1–1
Deportivo Alavés — Atlético Madrid · La Liga0–0
Atlético Madrid — Deportivo Alavés · La Liga2–1
Deportivo Alavés — Atlético Madrid · La Liga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Alavés favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 11 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Alavés7 matchesAtlético Madrid7 matches
1.57 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 2.29 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71 goal/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.69 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 17 shots/match
4.43 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 6.43 shots/match
42.1%Possession7/7● 57.1%
4.29 corners/matchCorners7/7● 5 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls7/712.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness21 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo AlavésAtlético Madrid
CompetitionLa Liga
Head-to-headDeportivo Alavés — Atlético Madrid
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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