Rayo Vallecano
La Liga · 2026Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club · La Liga
Season
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
- Goals scored
- 1.57–1.17
- Expected goals
- 1.27–1.6
- Shots
- 13.4–15.7
- Possession
- 48.7%–52.5%
30-second read
What the record shows
The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 0 to Rayo Vallecano, 1 drawn, 4 to Athletic Club. From this fixture's own record: athletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.
Athletic Club show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateAthletic Club's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Athletic Club | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 13.4 shots/match | 15.7 shots/match | 11.9 shots/match |
| Shots against | 16.4 shots/match | 9.5 shots/match | 13.4 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
Both teams have elevated corners records
moderateEach team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Athletic Club | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 5.29 corners/match | 6.17 corners/match | 4.36 corners/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
Rayo Vallecano's recent record differs from the season
weakRayo Vallecano's last-five shots average is above their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 16 shots/match | 13.4 shots/match | 11.9 shots/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Rayo Vallecano favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 9 · 2 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches
Rayo Vallecano / Athletic Club
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
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