PitchMath
La Liga · 2026

Valencia vs Athletic Club · La Liga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.331.4
Expected goals
0.741.59
Shots
8.6714
Possession
46.5%49.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 2 to Valencia, 0 drawn, 3 to Athletic Club. From this fixture's own record: valencia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Valencia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Valencia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.67 shots/match ▲ShotsValencia · Athletic Club14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricValenciaAthletic ClubBaseline
Shots8.67 shots/match14 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match11 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

weak

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.33 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Valencia favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 10 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Valencia6 matchesAthletic Club5 matches
0.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/5▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed6/5▲ 1.2 goals/match
0.74 xG/matchExpected goals6/5▲ 1.59 xG/match
8.67 shots/matchShots6/5▲ 14 shots/match
2.33 shots/matchShots on target6/5▲ 4.4 shots/match
46.5%Possession6/5● 49.2%
4 corners/matchCorners6/5● 6.4 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls6/510.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Valencia
0Draws
3Athletic Club
Athletic Club — Valencia · La Liga0–1
Valencia — Athletic Club · Copa del Rey1–2
Valencia — Athletic Club · La Liga2–0
Valencia — Athletic Club · La Liga0–1
Athletic Club — Valencia · La Liga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsValenciaAthletic Club
CompetitionLa Liga
Head-to-headValencia — Athletic Club
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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