PitchMath
La Liga · 2026

Racing de Santander 2–2 Valencia · La Liga

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Racing de Santander and Valencia drew 2–2.

Shots
2010
Shots on target
112
Expected goals
1.311.7
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Racing de Santander and Valencia drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Racing de Santander – Valencia): shots 20–10, shots on target 11–2, expected goals 1.31–1.7, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.75 goals/match1.38 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Racing de Santander have a visible home split

weak

Racing de Santander's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match11.5 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots10 shotsRacing de Santander 20 shots, Valencia 10 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots2 shotsRacing de Santander 11 shots, Valencia 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.31 xG1.7 xGRacing de Santander 1.31 xG, Valencia 1.7 xG
  • Possession54%46%Racing de Santander 54%, Valencia 46%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersRacing de Santander 8 corners, Valencia 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls10 foulsRacing de Santander 15 fouls, Valencia 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsRacing de Santander 3 cards, Valencia 3 cards
  • Passes523 passes450 passesRacing de Santander 523 passes, Valencia 450 passes
  • Pass accuracy84.9%77.8%Racing de Santander 84.9%, Valencia 77.8%
  • Shots inside box7 shots7 shotsRacing de Santander 7 shots, Valencia 7 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks2 blocksRacing de Santander 4 blocks, Valencia 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves9 savesRacing de Santander 0 saves, Valencia 9 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideRacing de Santander 1 offside, Valencia 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 2′Dani RabaGoal · Valencia
  2. 22′Pablo RamónYellow card · Racing de Santander
  3. 32′Yassir ZabiriGoal · Racing de Santander
  4. 45′Jorge SalinasYellow card · Racing de Santander
  5. 45′Guido RodríguezYellow card · Valencia
  6. 45′Dani RabaYellow card · Valencia
  7. Half-time
  8. 47′Iván MartínGoal · Racing de Santander
  9. 65′David OtorbiGoal · Valencia
  10. 72′Pablo MaffeoYellow card · Valencia
  11. 90′Iván MartínYellow card · Racing de Santander
  12. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Valencia · 1 player changeArnaut Danjuma
  • 58′Valencia · 2 player changesHarvey Elliott · David Otorbi
  • 61′Racing de Santander · 2 player changesAarón Martín · Andrés Martín
  • 75′Racing de Santander · 1 player changePablo García
  • 85′Valencia · 1 player changeAliou Dieng
  • 86′Valencia · 1 player changeArnau Martínez
  • 87′Racing de Santander · 2 player changesAsier Villalibre · Maguette Gueye

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Racing de Santander4-2-3-1
  1. Julen AgirrezabalaG
  2. Alvaro MantillaD
  3. Pablo RamónD
  4. Jorge SalinasD
  5. Jeanuël BelocianD
  6. Pablo GarcíaM
  7. Matteo PratiM
  8. Iván MartínM
  9. Iñigo VicenteF
  10. Sergio CanalesF
  11. Yassir ZabiriF
Valencia4-4-2
  1. Stole DimitrievskiG
  2. Mouctar DiakhabyD
  3. Justin De HaasD
  4. José Luis GayàD
  5. Pablo MaffeoD
  6. Guido RodríguezM
  7. Javier GuerraM
  8. PepeluM
  9. Aaron MayolM
  10. Hugo DuroF
  11. Ryunosuke SatoF

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Racing de Santander favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Valencia in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Racing de Santander8 matchesValencia8 matches
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/80.75 goals/match
2.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.88 goals/match
1.27 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/80.96 xG/match
11.5 shots/match ▲Shots8/810.4 shots/match
4.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/82.63 shots/match
48.8% ●Possession8/847.4%
4.75 corners/match ●Corners8/84.25 corners/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls8/810.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRacing de SantanderValencia
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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