PitchMath
La Liga · 2026

Racing de Santander vs Valencia · La Liga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.570.33
Expected goals
1.260.74
Shots
10.38.67
Possession
48%46.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: racing de Santander's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Racing de Santander have a visible home split

weak

Racing de Santander's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match10.3 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Valencia's recent record differs from the season

weak

Valencia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.33 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Racing de Santander favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Valencia in 6 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Racing de Santander7 matchesValencia6 matches
1.57 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/60.33 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed7/6▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.26 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/60.74 xG/match
10.3 shots/match ▲Shots7/68.67 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/62.33 shots/match
48% ●Possession7/646.5%
4.29 corners/match ●Corners7/64 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls7/610.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness26 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRacing de SantanderValencia
CompetitionLa Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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