Real Madrid vs Villarreal — Stats & Match Analysis

La Liga · 2026Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC

Real Madrid

WWLWW

vsPre-match analysis

Villarreal

DLLLW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 2.831.67
Expected goals: 2.982.01
Shots: 20.715.2
Possession: 54.8%61.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. The next-strongest reading is weaker: real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.83 corners/match ●CornersReal Madrid · Villarreal7.33 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Real Madrid	Villarreal	Baseline
Corners	7.83 corners/match	7.33 corners/match	4.36 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Real Madrid show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Real Madrid's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20.7 shots/match ▲ShotsReal Madrid · Villarreal15.2 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Real Madrid	Villarreal	Baseline
Shots	20.7 shots/match	15.2 shots/match	11.9 shots/match
Shots against	11.8 shots/match	14 shots/match	13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Real Madrid favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Villarreal in 0 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Real Madrid6 matchesVillarreal6 matches

2.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.67 goals/match

1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.83 goals/match

2.98 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/62.01 xG/match

20.7 shots/match ▲Shots6/615.2 shots/match

8.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/66.5 shots/match

54.8%Possession6/6● 61.7%

7.83 corners/match ●Corners6/67.33 corners/match

8.83 fouls/matchFouls6/611 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Real Madrid

1Draws

0Villarreal

24 Jan 2026Villarreal — Real Madrid · La Liga0–2

4 Oct 2025Real Madrid — Villarreal · La Liga3–1

15 Mar 2025Villarreal — Real Madrid · La Liga1–2

5 Oct 2024Real Madrid — Villarreal · La Liga2–0

19 May 2024Villarreal — Real Madrid · La Liga4–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples6 / 6home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness25 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in La Liga

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Season