UEFA Champions League · 2026

Roma vs Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League

vsSeason opening

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Roma1 matches
  • Real Madrid1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

These two clubs played in different competitions last season, so the values are shown side by side without ranking them against each other.

Roma

Competition
Serie A
Season
2025/26
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.55 goals/match
  • Goals allowed0.82 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.45 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.04 xG/match
  • Shots13.2 shots/match
  • Shots allowed9.74 shots/match
  • Shots on target4.68 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed3.63 shots/match
  • Possession56.3%
  • Corners5.16 corners/match
  • Corners allowed3.47 corners/match
  • Cards1.91 cards/match
  • Fouls13.8 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency47%
  • Scoring frequency82%

Real Madrid

Competition
UEFA Champions League
Season
2025/26
Sample
14 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
30 May 2026
  • Goals scored2.36 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.43 goals/match
  • Expected goals2.22 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.65 xG/match
  • Shots17.4 shots/match
  • Shots allowed15.8 shots/match
  • Shots on target6.93 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed6.57 shots/match
  • Possession53.6%
  • Corners5.71 corners/match
  • Corners allowed6.07 corners/match
  • Fouls10.8 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency29%
  • Scoring frequency93%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
Freshness36 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 14 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4