Roma vs Genoa — Stats & Match Analysis

Serie A · 2026Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC

Roma

WWWWD

vsPre-match analysis

Genoa

LLLDL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 2.80.6
Expected goals: 2.60.9
Shots: 20.611.8
Possession: 57.6%48%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: genoa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: roma have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Genoa show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Genoa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

20.6 shots/match ▲ShotsRoma · Genoa11.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Roma	Genoa	Baseline
Shots	20.6 shots/match	11.8 shots/match	14 shots/match
Shots against	9.2 shots/match	15.8 shots/match	15.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Roma have a visible home split

weak

Roma's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

24.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season20.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	24.7 shots/match	20.6 shots/match	14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.8 corners/match ●CornersRoma · Genoa5 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Roma	Genoa	Baseline
Corners	5.8 corners/match	5 corners/match	4.4 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Roma favored in 13 of 13 directional metrics · Genoa in 0

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Roma5 matchesGenoa5 matches

2.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52 goals/match

2.6 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/50.9 xG/match

20.6 shots/match ▲Shots5/511.8 shots/match

7 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53 shots/match

57.6% ●Possession5/548%

5.8 corners/match ●Corners5/55 corners/match

13 fouls/matchFouls5/59.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Roma

1Draws

1Genoa

8 Mar 2026Genoa — Roma · Serie A2–1

29 Dec 2025Roma — Genoa · Serie A3–1

17 Jan 2025Roma — Genoa · Serie A3–1

15 Sept 2024Genoa — Roma · Serie A1–1

19 May 2024Roma — Genoa · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4