Roma vs Genoa — Stats & Match Analysis

Serie A · 2026Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC

Roma

WWWW

vsPre-match analysis

Genoa

LLLD

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 30.5
Expected goals: 2.830.94
Shots: 21.311.8
Possession: 59.8%45.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: roma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Roma show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Roma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

21.3 shots/match ▲ShotsRoma · Genoa11.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Roma	Genoa	Baseline
Shots	21.3 shots/match	11.8 shots/match	13.8 shots/match
Shots against	7.5 shots/match	18.5 shots/match	15.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Roma have recorded the higher season possession share.

59.8% ●PossessionRoma · Genoa45.5%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.2 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	Roma	Genoa	Baseline
Possession	59.8%	45.5%	47.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Roma favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Genoa in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Roma4 matchesGenoa4 matches

3 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/40.5 goals/match

0.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/42 goals/match

2.83 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/40.94 xG/match

21.3 shots/match ▲Shots4/411.8 shots/match

7.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/42.5 shots/match

59.8% ●Possession4/445.5%

6.25 corners/match ●Corners4/45 corners/match

13 fouls/matchFouls4/49 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Roma

1Draws

1Genoa

8 Mar 2026Genoa — Roma · Serie A2–1

29 Dec 2025Roma — Genoa · Serie A3–1

17 Jan 2025Roma — Genoa · Serie A3–1

15 Sept 2024Genoa — Roma · Serie A1–1

19 May 2024Roma — Genoa · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4