Serie A · 2026

Bologna vs Inter · Serie A

Bologna

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vsPre-match analysis

Inter

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Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.63
Expected goals
1.182.73
Shots
13.423.2
Possession
52%63%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 1 to Bologna, 2 drawn, 2 to Inter. From this fixture's own record: inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsBologna · Inter23.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBolognaInterBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match23.2 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match11.4 shots/match15.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

52%PossessionBologna · Inter● 63%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBolognaInterBaseline
Possession52%63%48.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Inter in 8 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna5 matchesInter5 matches
0.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 3 goals/match
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.18 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 2.73 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 23.2 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 7.4 shots/match
52%Possession5/5● 63%
4.2 corners/matchCorners5/5● 6.2 corners/match
14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/56.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bologna
2Draws
2Inter
Bologna — Inter · Serie A3–3
Inter — Bologna · Serie A3–1
Bologna — Inter · Serie A1–0
Inter — Bologna · Serie A2–2
Bologna — Inter · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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