Serie A · 2026

Bologna vs Inter · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Inter

WWWW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.53.25
Expected goals
1.312.82
Shots
1425
Possession
55%66%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsBologna · Inter25 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBolognaInterBaseline
Shots14 shots/match25 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against11.5 shots/match9.75 shots/match15.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Inter have recorded the higher season possession share.

55%PossessionBologna · Inter● 66%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBolognaInterBaseline
Possession55%66%47.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Inter in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna4 matchesInter4 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 3.25 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 2.82 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 25 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 8 shots/match
55%Possession4/4● 66%
5 corners/matchCorners4/4● 7.25 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls4/46.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bologna
2Draws
2Inter
Bologna — Inter · Serie A3–3
Inter — Bologna · Serie A3–1
Bologna — Inter · Serie A1–0
Inter — Bologna · Serie A2–2
Bologna — Inter · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
Freshness34 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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