Serie A · 2026

Lecce vs Bologna · Serie A

Lecce

WLLW
vsPre-match analysis

Bologna

LLDLD

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.250.6
Expected goals
1.231.18
Shots
913.4
Possession
40.5%52%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Lecce show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsLecce · Bologna13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLecceBolognaBaseline
Shots9 shots/match13.4 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against18.3 shots/match12 shots/match14.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

12 fouls/matchFoulsLecce · Bologna14.6 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLecceBolognaBaseline
Fouls12 fouls/match14.6 fouls/match10.8 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Bologna have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.5%PossessionLecce · Bologna● 52%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLecceBolognaBaseline
Possession40.5%52%47.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Bologna in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce4 matchesBologna5 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/50.6 goals/match
1.75 goals/matchGoals allowed4/5▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals4/51.18 xG/match
9 shots/matchShots4/5▲ 13.4 shots/match
3.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/53.2 shots/match
40.5%Possession4/5● 52%
3.5 corners/matchCorners4/5● 4.2 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls4/514.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lecce
2Draws
3Bologna
Bologna — Lecce · Serie A2–0
Lecce — Bologna · Serie A2–2
Lecce — Bologna · Serie A0–0
Bologna — Lecce · Serie A1–0
Bologna — Lecce · Serie A4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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