PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Lecce 1–2 Bologna · Serie A

Lecce

WLLWL
1–2Pre-match analysis

Bologna

LLDLD

Match at a glance

Bologna won 1–2.

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Lecce show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLecce · Bologna13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLecceBolognaBaseline
Shots8.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against16.6 shots/match12 shots/match15.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

12.6 fouls/matchFoulsLecce · Bologna14.6 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLecceBolognaBaseline
Fouls12.6 fouls/match14.6 fouls/match10.9 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bologna have recorded the higher season possession share.

38.6%PossessionLecce · Bologna● 52%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLecceBolognaBaseline
Possession38.6%52%48.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Lecce4-3-3
  1. Wladimiro FalconeG
  2. Jamil SiebertD
  3. Danilo VeigaD
  4. Antonino GalloD
  5. Tiago GabrielD
  6. Youssef MalehM
  7. Ivan IlićM
  8. Lassana CoulibalyM
  9. Konan N'DriF
  10. Santiago PierottiF
  11. Joël MonteiroF
Bologna3-4-3
  1. Łukasz SkorupskiG
  2. Arthur TheateD
  3. Eivind HellandD
  4. Torbjørn HeggemD
  5. Nadir ZorteaD
  6. Juan MirandaD
  7. Tommaso PobegaM
  8. Lewis FergusonM
  9. Riccardo OrsoliniF
  10. Federico BernardeschiF
  11. Roberto PiccoliF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lecce
2Draws
3Bologna
Bologna — Lecce · Serie A2–0
Lecce — Bologna · Serie A2–2
Lecce — Bologna · Serie A0–0
Bologna — Lecce · Serie A1–0
Bologna — Lecce · Serie A4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Bologna in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce5 matchesBologna5 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.18 xG/match
8.4 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 13.4 shots/match
3.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53.2 shots/match
38.6%Possession5/5● 52%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/5● 4.2 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/514.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness22 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLecceBologna
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headLecce — Bologna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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