PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Lazio 3–1 Monza · Serie A

Lazio

WWWDW
3–1Full-time analysis

Monza

LLDLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Lazio won 3–1.

Shots
1714
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
1.511.84
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio beat Monza 3–1. Recorded in this match (Lazio – Monza): shots 17–14, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 1.51–1.84, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.2 fouls/matchFoulsLazio · Monza12.5 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricLazioMonzaBaseline
Fouls13.2 fouls/match12.5 fouls/match10.8 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots14 shotsLazio 17 shots, Monza 14 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsLazio 7 shots, Monza 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.51 xG1.84 xGLazio 1.51 xG, Monza 1.84 xG
  • Possession66%34%Lazio 66%, Monza 34%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersLazio 7 corners, Monza 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsLazio 10 fouls, Monza 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardLazio 3 cards, Monza 1 card
  • Passes596 passes299 passesLazio 596 passes, Monza 299 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.6%74.9%Lazio 86.6%, Monza 74.9%
  • Shots inside box8 shots10 shotsLazio 8 shots, Monza 10 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks5 blocksLazio 2 blocks, Monza 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves4 savesLazio 5 saves, Monza 4 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesLazio 0 offsides, Monza 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 3′Nuno TavaresGoal · Lazio
  2. 13′Andrea CarboniYellow card · Monza
  3. 23′Gustav IsaksenGoal · Lazio
  4. 35′Lorenzo LucchesiRed card · Monza
  5. 45′Danilho DoekhiYellow card · Lazio
  6. Half-time
  7. 46′Saba GoglichidzeGoal · Monza
  8. 55′Oliver ProvstgaardYellow card · Lazio
  9. 68′Diogo LeiteYellow card · Lazio
  10. 88′Andrea PinamontiGoal · Lazio
  11. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 37′Monza · 1 player changeSaba Goglichidze
  • 46′Monza · 3 player changesYvan Maye · Dany Mota · Manga Foe Ondoa
  • 53′Lazio · 1 player changeDiogo Leite
  • 60′Lazio · 2 player changesJosip Šutalo · Fisayo Dele-Bashiru
  • 70′Monza · 1 player changeAdam Bakoune
  • 75′Lazio · 2 player changesAlfonso Pedraza · Andrea Pinamonti

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Lazio4-3-3
  1. Christos MandasG
  2. Danilho DoekhiD
  3. Romano Floriani MussoliniD
  4. Nuno TavaresD
  5. Oliver ProvstgaardD
  6. Davide FrattesiM
  7. Reda BelahyaneM
  8. Kenneth TaylorM
  9. Mattia ZaccagniF
  10. Gustav IsaksenF
  11. Tijjani NoslinF
Monza3-4-3
  1. Noel TörnqvistG
  2. Lorenzo LucchesiD
  3. Ricardo MangasD
  4. Samuele BirindelliD
  5. Andrea CarboniD
  6. Eddy KouadioD
  7. Ebenezer AkinsanmiroM
  8. Michael FolorunshoM
  9. Gustavo VarelaF
  10. Patrick CutroneF
  11. Jay RobinsonF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Lazio
2Draws
0Monza
Lazio — Monza · Serie A5–1
Monza — Lazio · Serie A0–1
Monza — Lazio · Serie A2–2
Lazio — Monza · Serie A1–1
Monza — Lazio · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Monza in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio6 matchesMonza6 matches
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.5 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/62.5 goals/match
1.53 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.77 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 14.2 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 6 shots/match
49.7% ●Possession6/644.2%
4.83 corners/match ●Corners6/64.67 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls6/612.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLazioMonza
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headLazio — Monza
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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