Monza vs Cagliari — Stats & Match Analysis

Serie A · 2026Mon, 19 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC

Monza

LLDLW

vsPre-match analysis

Cagliari

WLWWW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored: 1.61
Expected goals: 1.761.01
Shots: 14.210.8
Possession: 46.2%40.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: cagliari's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: cagliari's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Cagliari have a visible away split

weak

Cagliari's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	8 shots/match	10.8 shots/match	14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Cagliari show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cagliari's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsMonza · Cagliari10.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Monza	Cagliari	Baseline
Shots	14.2 shots/match	10.8 shots/match	14.1 shots/match
Shots against	11.8 shots/match	20.2 shots/match	14.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Monza favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Cagliari in 3 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Monza5 matchesCagliari5 matches

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51 goal/match

2.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 0.4 goals/match

1.76 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.01 xG/match

14.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/510.8 shots/match

6 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/54.2 shots/match

46.2% ●Possession5/540.6%

4.4 corners/match ●Corners5/54 corners/match

13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Monza

1Draws

2Cagliari

30 Mar 2025Cagliari — Monza · Serie A3–0

5 Jan 2025Monza — Cagliari · Serie A1–2

16 Mar 2024Monza — Cagliari · Serie A1–0

26 Nov 2023Cagliari — Monza · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited

Season samples5 / 5home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

Freshness31 daysstale at cutoff

At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.

Analysis cutoff: Mon, 19 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Season