Serie A · 2026

Cagliari vs Bologna · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Bologna

LDLDW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
10.83
Expected goals
0.921.18
Shots
9.6713.4
Possession
38.5%52%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 1 to Cagliari, 1 drawn, 3 to Bologna. From this fixture's own record: cagliari's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Cagliari show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cagliari's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.67 shots/match ▲ShotsCagliari · Bologna13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCagliariBolognaBaseline
Shots9.67 shots/match13.4 shots/match14.3 shots/match
Shots against20.5 shots/match12 shots/match15.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.83 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cagliari have a visible home split

weak

Cagliari's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match9.67 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cagliari favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Bologna in 7 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cagliari6 matchesBologna6 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored6/60.83 goals/match
0.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.17 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals6/5▲ 1.18 xG/match
9.67 shots/matchShots6/5▲ 13.4 shots/match
3.83 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/53.2 shots/match
38.5%Possession6/5● 52%
3.5 corners/matchCorners6/5● 4.2 corners/match
9.83 fouls/matchFouls6/514.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cagliari
1Draws
3Bologna
Bologna — Cagliari · Serie A0–0
Cagliari — Bologna · Serie A0–2
Bologna — Cagliari · Serie A2–1
Cagliari — Bologna · Serie A0–2
Cagliari — Bologna · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness13 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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