Serie A · 2026

Roma vs Cagliari · Serie A

Roma

WWWWD
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.81
Expected goals
2.61.01
Shots
20.610.8
Possession
57.6%40.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 3 to Roma, 1 drawn, 1 to Cagliari. From this fixture's own record: roma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Roma show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Roma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20.6 shots/match ▲ShotsRoma · Cagliari10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRomaCagliariBaseline
Shots20.6 shots/match10.8 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against9.2 shots/match20.2 shots/match15.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Cagliari have a visible away split

weak

Cagliari's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8 shots/match10.8 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Roma have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.6% ●PossessionRoma · Cagliari40.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRomaCagliariBaseline
Possession57.6%40.6%48.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Roma favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Cagliari in 1 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Roma5 matchesCagliari5 matches
2.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51 goal/match
0.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 0.4 goals/match
2.6 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.01 xG/match
20.6 shots/match ▲Shots5/510.8 shots/match
7 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/54.2 shots/match
57.6% ●Possession5/540.6%
5.8 corners/match ●Corners5/54 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Roma
1Draws
1Cagliari
Roma — Cagliari · Serie A2–0
Cagliari — Roma · Serie A1–0
Roma — Cagliari · Serie A1–0
Cagliari — Roma · Serie A0–0
Roma — Cagliari · Serie A4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness38 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 27 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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