Serie A · 2026

Roma vs Cagliari · Serie A

Roma

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vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
2.331
Expected goals
2.350.92
Shots
18.79.67
Possession
53.7%38.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 3 to Roma, 1 drawn, 1 to Cagliari. From this fixture's own record: roma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Roma show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Roma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.7 shots/match ▲ShotsRoma · Cagliari9.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRomaCagliariBaseline
Shots18.7 shots/match9.67 shots/match14.3 shots/match
Shots against10.8 shots/match20.5 shots/match15.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Roma have a visible home split

weak

Roma's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

24.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season18.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots24.7 shots/match18.7 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Roma have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.7% ●PossessionRoma · Cagliari38.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRomaCagliariBaseline
Possession53.7%38.5%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Roma favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Cagliari in 0 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Roma6 matchesCagliari6 matches
2.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61 goal/match
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/60.5 goals/match
2.35 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/60.92 xG/match
18.7 shots/match ▲Shots6/69.67 shots/match
6.17 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/63.83 shots/match
53.7% ●Possession6/638.5%
5.17 corners/match ●Corners6/63.5 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls6/69.83 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Roma
1Draws
1Cagliari
Roma — Cagliari · Serie A2–0
Cagliari — Roma · Serie A1–0
Roma — Cagliari · Serie A1–0
Cagliari — Roma · Serie A0–0
Roma — Cagliari · Serie A4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness16 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 27 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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