Serie A · 2026

Napoli vs Roma · Serie A

Napoli

LLWDW
vsPre-match analysis

Roma

WWWDD

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.672.33
Expected goals
1.732.35
Shots
14.818.7
Possession
50%53.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 2 to Napoli, 3 drawn, 0 to Roma. From this fixture's own record: roma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Roma have a visible away split

weak

Roma's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season18.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.7 shots/match18.7 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Roma show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Roma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsNapoli · Roma18.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNapoliRomaBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match18.7 shots/match14.3 shots/match
Shots against16.7 shots/match10.8 shots/match15.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.5 corners/match ●CornersNapoli · Roma5.17 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricNapoliRomaBaseline
Corners5.5 corners/match5.17 corners/match4.47 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Napoli favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Roma in 11 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Napoli6 matchesRoma6 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 2.33 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 0.5 goals/match
1.73 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 2.35 xG/match
14.8 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 18.7 shots/match
4.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 6.17 shots/match
50%Possession6/6● 53.7%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners6/65.17 corners/match
9.33 fouls/matchFouls6/612.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Napoli
3Draws
0Roma
Napoli — Roma · Serie A2–2
Roma — Napoli · Serie A0–1
Roma — Napoli · Serie A1–1
Napoli — Roma · Serie A1–0
Napoli — Roma · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness14 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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