Serie A · 2026

Napoli vs Roma · Serie A

Napoli

WLLWD
vsPre-match analysis

Roma

WWWWD

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.42.8
Expected goals
1.522.6
Shots
1420.6
Possession
49.8%57.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 2 to Napoli, 3 drawn, 0 to Roma. From this fixture's own record: roma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Roma show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Roma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsNapoli · Roma20.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNapoliRomaBaseline
Shots14 shots/match20.6 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against16.6 shots/match9.2 shots/match15.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.4 corners/matchCornersNapoli · Roma● 5.8 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricNapoliRomaBaseline
Corners5.4 corners/match5.8 corners/match4.4 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Napoli favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Roma in 11 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Napoli5 matchesRoma5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 2.8 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 0.6 goals/match
1.52 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 2.6 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 20.6 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 7 shots/match
49.8%Possession5/5● 57.6%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/5● 5.8 corners/match
9.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Napoli
3Draws
0Roma
Napoli — Roma · Serie A2–2
Roma — Napoli · Serie A0–1
Roma — Napoli · Serie A1–1
Napoli — Roma · Serie A1–0
Napoli — Roma · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness35 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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