PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Lazio vs Parma · Serie A

Lazio

WWDWW
vsPre-match analysis

Parma

LDLWL

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.830.67
Expected goals
1.530.67
Shots
13.38
Possession
49.7%42.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: parma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: parma's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Parma show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Parma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsLazio · Parma8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLazioParmaBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match8 shots/match14.3 shots/match
Shots against13.2 shots/match18.2 shots/match15.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Parma's recent record differs from the season

weak

Parma's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 13 of 13 directional metrics · Parma in 0

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio6 matchesParma6 matches
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.67 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.67 goals/match
1.53 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/50.67 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots6/58 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/52.8 shots/match
49.7% ●Possession6/542.6%
4.83 corners/match ●Corners6/53.4 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls6/510.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lazio
2Draws
1Parma
Lazio — Parma · Serie A1–1
Parma — Lazio · Serie A0–1
Lazio — Parma · Serie A2–2
Parma — Lazio · Serie A3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness14 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLazioParma
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headLazio — Parma
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required