PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Parma vs Torino · Serie A

Parma

LLDLW
vsPre-match analysis

Torino

LLWLD

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.81
Expected goals
0.670.89
Shots
89.4
Possession
42.6%53.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: parma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: torino have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Parma show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Parma's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8 shots/match ▲ShotsParma · Torino9.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParmaTorinoBaseline
Shots8 shots/match9.4 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against18.2 shots/match15.4 shots/match15.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Torino have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.6%PossessionParma · Torino● 53.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParmaTorinoBaseline
Possession42.6%53.8%48.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Parma favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Torino in 10 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Parma5 matchesTorino5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1 goal/match
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
0.67 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 0.89 xG/match
8 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 9.4 shots/match
2.8 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 3 shots/match
42.6%Possession5/5● 53.8%
3.4 corners/matchCorners5/53.4 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/59.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Parma
2Draws
1Torino
Torino — Parma · Serie A4–1
Parma — Torino · Serie A2–1
Parma — Torino · Serie A2–2
Torino — Parma · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness30 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 19 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParmaTorino
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headParma — Torino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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