PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

PSV Eindhoven 2–0 SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

PSV Eindhoven won 2–0.

Shots
1512
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
1.61.56
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

PSV Eindhoven beat SC Heerenveen 2–0. Recorded in this match (PSV Eindhoven – SC Heerenveen): shots 15–12, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 1.6–1.56, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

PSV Eindhoven show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20.3 shots/match ▲ShotsPSV Eindhoven · SC Heerenveen15.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenSC HeerenveenBaseline
Shots20.3 shots/match15.5 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against10.3 shots/match15.8 shots/match16.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

SC Heerenveen's recent record differs from the season

weak

SC Heerenveen's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.79 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7.13 corners/match ●CornersPSV Eindhoven · SC Heerenveen5.25 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenSC HeerenveenBaseline
Corners7.13 corners/match5.25 corners/match4.71 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots12 shotsPSV Eindhoven 15 shots, SC Heerenveen 12 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsPSV Eindhoven 2 shots, SC Heerenveen 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.6 xG1.56 xGPSV Eindhoven 1.6 xG, SC Heerenveen 1.56 xG
  • Possession55%45%PSV Eindhoven 55%, SC Heerenveen 45%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersPSV Eindhoven 4 corners, SC Heerenveen 6 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls10 foulsPSV Eindhoven 19 fouls, SC Heerenveen 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsPSV Eindhoven 1 card, SC Heerenveen 2 cards
  • Passes510 passes422 passesPSV Eindhoven 510 passes, SC Heerenveen 422 passes
  • Pass accuracy85.9%83.7%PSV Eindhoven 85.9%, SC Heerenveen 83.7%
  • Shots inside box10 shots9 shotsPSV Eindhoven 10 shots, SC Heerenveen 9 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks2 blocksPSV Eindhoven 4 blocks, SC Heerenveen 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves0 savesPSV Eindhoven 5 saves, SC Heerenveen 0 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesPSV Eindhoven 1 offside, SC Heerenveen 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 29′Guus TilGoal · PSV Eindhoven
  2. 42′Armando ObispoYellow card · PSV Eindhoven
  3. Half-time
  4. 60′Marcus LindayYellow card · SC Heerenveen
  5. 68′Marcus LindayGoal · SC Heerenveen
  6. 74′Sam KerstenYellow card · SC Heerenveen
  7. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 64′SC Heerenveen · 2 player changesRingo Meerveld · Marko Farji
  • 65′PSV Eindhoven · 3 player changesIvan Perišić · Filip Kostić · Yarek Gasiorowski
  • 75′SC Heerenveen · 2 player changesLanroy Machine · Mats Egbring
  • 83′SC Heerenveen · 1 player changeLuca Oyen
  • 83′PSV Eindhoven · 2 player changesAyoni Santos · Shuryjano Cornecion

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

PSV Eindhoven
  1. Matěj KovářG
  2. Armando ObispoD
  3. Ryan FlamingoD
  4. Sergiño DestD
  5. Mauro JúniorD
  6. Guus TilM
  7. Kodai SanoM
  8. Noah FernandezM
  9. Ruben van BommelF
  10. Esmir BajraktarevićF
  11. Sven MijnansF
SC Heerenveen
  1. Bernt KlaverboerG
  2. Maas WillemsenD
  3. Sam KerstenD
  4. Vasilios ZagaritisD
  5. Oliver BraudeD
  6. Levi SmansM
  7. Marcus LindayM
  8. Nolhan CourtensM
  9. Maxence RiveraF
  10. Dylan VenteF
  11. Jacob TrenskowF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4PSV Eindhoven
0Draws
1SC Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie3–1
PSV Eindhoven — SC Heerenveen · KNVB Beker4–1
SC Heerenveen — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie0–2
PSV Eindhoven — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie2–1
SC Heerenveen — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: PSV Eindhoven favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · SC Heerenveen in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

PSV Eindhoven8 matchesSC Heerenveen8 matches
3.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.38 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.38 goals/match
2.71 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.3 xG/match
20.3 shots/match ▲Shots8/815.5 shots/match
7.63 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/85.88 shots/match
62.6% ●Possession8/852.9%
7.13 corners/match ●Corners8/85.25 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls8/88.63 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPSV EindhovenSC Heerenveen
CompetitionEredivisie
Head-to-headPSV Eindhoven — SC Heerenveen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required