PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

PSV Eindhoven vs SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
3.671.17
Expected goals
3.181.17
Shots
22.714.8
Possession
64.3%54.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: PSV Eindhoven have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

PSV Eindhoven show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

22.7 shots/match ▲ShotsPSV Eindhoven · SC Heerenveen14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenSC HeerenveenBaseline
Shots22.7 shots/match14.8 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against8.33 shots/match16.7 shots/match16.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

PSV Eindhoven have recorded the higher season possession share.

64.3% ●PossessionPSV Eindhoven · SC Heerenveen54.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPSV EindhovenSC HeerenveenBaseline
Possession64.3%54.2%48.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: PSV Eindhoven favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · SC Heerenveen in 1 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

PSV Eindhoven6 matchesSC Heerenveen6 matches
3.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.17 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.5 goals/match
3.18 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.17 xG/match
22.7 shots/match ▲Shots6/614.8 shots/match
9.17 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/65.5 shots/match
64.3% ●Possession6/654.2%
8 corners/match ●Corners6/65 corners/match
8.17 fouls/matchFouls6/68.33 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4PSV Eindhoven
0Draws
1SC Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie3–1
PSV Eindhoven — SC Heerenveen · KNVB Beker4–1
SC Heerenveen — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie0–2
PSV Eindhoven — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie2–1
SC Heerenveen — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness26 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 9 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPSV EindhovenSC Heerenveen
CompetitionEredivisie
Head-to-headPSV Eindhoven — SC Heerenveen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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