PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Middlesbrough vs Wolverhampton · Championship

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
22.33
Expected goals
1.931.8
Shots
17.415.5
Possession
60.3%55%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Middlesbrough favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Wolverhampton in 4 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Middlesbrough8 matchesWolverhampton6 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored8/6▲ 2.33 goals/match
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/61.67 goals/match
1.93 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/61.8 xG/match
17.4 shots/match ▲Shots8/615.5 shots/match
5.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/64.33 shots/match
60.3% ●Possession8/655%
5.75 corners/matchCorners8/6● 6 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls8/611.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness27 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMiddlesbroughWolverhampton
CompetitionChampionship
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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