PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Cagliari 1–1 Juventus · Serie A

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Cagliari and Juventus drew 1–1.

Shots
422
Shots on target
210
Expected goals
0.511.92
Possession
28%72%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cagliari and Juventus drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Cagliari – Juventus): shots 4–22, shots on target 2–10, expected goals 0.51–1.92, possession 28%–72%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cagliari show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Cagliari's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.67 shots/match ▲ShotsCagliari · Juventus18.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCagliariJuventusBaseline
Shots9.67 shots/match18.2 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against20.5 shots/match7.17 shots/match14.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Juventus have recorded the higher season possession share.

38.5%PossessionCagliari · Juventus● 58.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCagliariJuventusBaseline
Possession38.5%58.2%48.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Cagliari have a visible home split

weak

Cagliari's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season9.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match9.67 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots22 shotsCagliari 4 shots, Juventus 22 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots10 shotsCagliari 2 shots, Juventus 10 shots
  • Expected goals0.51 xG1.92 xGCagliari 0.51 xG, Juventus 1.92 xG
  • Possession28%72%Cagliari 28%, Juventus 72%
  • Corners1 corner9 cornersCagliari 1 corner, Juventus 9 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls8 foulsCagliari 8 fouls, Juventus 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardCagliari 2 cards, Juventus 1 card
  • Passes340 passes842 passesCagliari 340 passes, Juventus 842 passes
  • Pass accuracy81.5%92.6%Cagliari 81.5%, Juventus 92.6%
  • Shots inside box2 shots8 shotsCagliari 2 shots, Juventus 8 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block6 blocksCagliari 1 block, Juventus 6 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves9 saves1 saveCagliari 9 saves, Juventus 1 save
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesCagliari 2 offsides, Juventus 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 17′Weston McKennieYellow card · Juventus
  2. 20′Daniel MaldiniGoal · Cagliari
  3. 45′Juan RodríguezYellow card · Cagliari
  4. Half-time
  5. 81′Randal Kolo MuaniGoal · Juventus
  6. 83′Alessandro DeiolaYellow card · Cagliari
  7. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Juventus · 2 player changesEdon Zhegrova · Kerim Alajbegović
  • 46′Cagliari · 1 player changeAlessandro Deiola
  • 60′Juventus · 1 player changeNick Woltemade
  • 60′Cagliari · 1 player changeAlieu Fadera
  • 64′Juventus · 1 player changeAndrea Cambiaso
  • 69′Cagliari · 2 player changesM'bala Nzola · Yukinari Sugawara
  • 84′Juventus · 1 player changeTeun Koopmeiners
  • 84′Cagliari · 1 player changeJacopo Fazzini

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Cagliari4-4-2
  1. Elia CaprileG
  2. Zé PedroD
  3. Juan RodríguezD
  4. Yerry MinaD
  5. Adam ObertD
  6. Alessandro RomanoM
  7. Harry WinksM
  8. Michel AdopoM
  9. Jacopo FazziniM
  10. Paul MendyF
  11. Daniel MaldiniF
Juventus4-2-3-1
  1. Guglielmo VicarioG
  2. Gleison BremerD
  3. Lloyd KellyD
  4. Pierre KaluluD
  5. Andrea CambiasoD
  6. Douglas LuizM
  7. Weston McKennieM
  8. Pape Matar SarrM
  9. Randal Kolo MuaniF
  10. Edon ZhegrovaF
  11. Nicolás GonzálezF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cagliari
2Draws
2Juventus
Cagliari — Juventus · Serie A1–0
Juventus — Cagliari · Serie A2–1
Cagliari — Juventus · Serie A0–1
Juventus — Cagliari · Serie A1–1
Cagliari — Juventus · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cagliari favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Juventus in 10 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cagliari6 matchesJuventus6 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.5 goals/match
0.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/60.83 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.61 xG/match
9.67 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 18.2 shots/match
3.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 6.5 shots/match
38.5%Possession6/6● 58.2%
3.5 corners/matchCorners6/6● 8.5 corners/match
9.83 fouls/matchFouls6/613.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCagliariJuventus
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headCagliari — Juventus
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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