PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Cagliari vs Juventus · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
11.5
Expected goals
1.011.61
Shots
10.818.3
Possession
40.6%56.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: cagliari's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

Cagliari show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Cagliari's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsCagliari · Juventus18.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCagliariJuventusBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match18.3 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against20.2 shots/match7 shots/match14.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Juventus have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.6%PossessionCagliari · Juventus● 56.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCagliariJuventusBaseline
Possession40.6%56.3%47.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cagliari favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Juventus in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cagliari5 matchesJuventus4 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored5/4▲ 1.5 goals/match
0.4 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/41 goal/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals5/4▲ 1.61 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots5/4▲ 18.3 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target5/4▲ 6 shots/match
40.6%Possession5/4● 56.3%
4 corners/matchCorners5/4● 9.5 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/416 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cagliari
2Draws
2Juventus
Cagliari — Juventus · Serie A1–0
Juventus — Cagliari · Serie A2–1
Cagliari — Juventus · Serie A0–1
Juventus — Cagliari · Serie A1–1
Cagliari — Juventus · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 4last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCagliariJuventus
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headCagliari — Juventus
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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