PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Sassuolo 1–1 Milan · Serie A

1–1Pre-match analysis

Milan

WWDDW

Match at a glance

Sassuolo and Milan drew 1–1.

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 2 to Sassuolo, 2 drawn, 1 to Milan. From this fixture's own record: milan have recorded the higher season possession share. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Milan have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.8%PossessionSassuolo · Milan● 60.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSassuoloMilanBaseline
Possession47.8%60.6%48.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Lineups as recorded. The source does not mark them confirmed.

Sassuolo4-3-3
  1. Arijanet MurićG
  2. Josh DoigD
  3. Duje Ćaleta-CarD
  4. Fedde LeysenD
  5. Simone CinquegranoD
  6. Vasilije AdžićM
  7. Nemanja MatićM
  8. Kristian ThorstvedtM
  9. Domenico BerardiF
  10. Armand LaurientéF
  11. Sebastiano EspositoF
Milan4-4-1-1
  1. Mike MaignanG
  2. Koni De WinterD
  3. Strahinja PavlovićD
  4. Davide BartesaghiD
  5. Mario GilaD
  6. Adrien RabiotM
  7. Luka ModrićM
  8. Samuel ChukwuezeM
  9. Diego MoreiraM
  10. Gonçalo RamosF
  11. Christian PulišićF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Sassuolo
2Draws
1Milan
Sassuolo — Milan · Serie A2–0
Milan — Sassuolo · Serie A2–2
Sassuolo — Milan · Serie A3–3
Milan — Sassuolo · Serie A1–0
Milan — Sassuolo · Serie A2–5

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sassuolo favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Milan in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sassuolo5 matchesMilan5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 2 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 0.8 goals/match
1.55 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.37 xG/match
17.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/512.8 shots/match
7 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/54.2 shots/match
47.8%Possession5/5● 60.6%
4.6 corners/match ●Corners5/52.8 corners/match
8.8 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness23 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSassuoloMilan
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headSassuolo — Milan
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required