PitchMath
Serie A · 2026

Sassuolo vs Milan · Serie A

vsPre-match analysis

Milan

WWDD

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.81.75
Expected goals
1.551.23
Shots
17.213.5
Possession
47.8%58.5%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: milan have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Milan have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.8%PossessionSassuolo · Milan● 58.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSassuoloMilanBaseline
Possession47.8%58.5%47.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sassuolo favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Milan in 0 · 13 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sassuolo5 matchesMilan4 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/41.75 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/4▲ 1 goal/match
1.55 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/41.23 xG/match
17.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/413.5 shots/match
7 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/44.25 shots/match
47.8%Possession5/4● 58.5%
4.6 corners/match ●Corners5/43 corners/match
8.8 fouls/matchFouls5/410.5 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Sassuolo
2Draws
1Milan
Sassuolo — Milan · Serie A2–0
Milan — Sassuolo · Serie A2–2
Sassuolo — Milan · Serie A3–3
Milan — Sassuolo · Serie A1–0
Milan — Sassuolo · Serie A2–5

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 4last-five windows
Freshness29 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSassuoloMilan
CompetitionSerie A
Head-to-headSassuolo — Milan
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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