PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2026

Casa Pia 0–1 Santa Clara · Primeira Liga

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Santa Clara won 0–1.

Shots
514
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
0.430.61
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santa Clara beat Casa Pia 1–0. Recorded in this match (Casa Pia – Santa Clara): shots 5–14, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 0.43–0.61, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Casa Pia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Casa Pia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.38 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Casa Pia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Casa Pia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.63 shots/match ▲ShotsCasa Pia · Santa Clara13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCasa PiaSanta ClaraBaseline
Shots9.63 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against15.5 shots/match7.75 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots14 shotsCasa Pia 5 shots, Santa Clara 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsCasa Pia 2 shots, Santa Clara 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.43 xG0.61 xGCasa Pia 0.43 xG, Santa Clara 0.61 xG
  • Possession38%62%Casa Pia 38%, Santa Clara 62%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersCasa Pia 3 corners, Santa Clara 7 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls13 foulsCasa Pia 17 fouls, Santa Clara 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards5 cardsCasa Pia 3 cards, Santa Clara 5 cards
  • Passes317 passes498 passesCasa Pia 317 passes, Santa Clara 498 passes
  • Pass accuracy71.6%82.9%Casa Pia 71.6%, Santa Clara 82.9%
  • Shots inside box3 shots5 shotsCasa Pia 3 shots, Santa Clara 5 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block8 blocksCasa Pia 1 block, Santa Clara 8 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save2 savesCasa Pia 1 save, Santa Clara 2 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesCasa Pia 2 offsides, Santa Clara 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 18′José TavaresYellow card · Santa Clara
  2. Half-time
  3. 52′David SousaRed card · Casa Pia
  4. 67′Henrique AraújoYellow card · Casa Pia
  5. 68′Emanuel FernandesYellow card · Santa Clara
  6. 83′Gabi PereiraYellow card · Casa Pia
  7. 90′João VasconcelosGoal · Santa Clara
  8. 90′João VasconcelosYellow card · Santa Clara
  9. 90′André GeraldesYellow card · Casa Pia
  10. 90′Gonçalo PaciênciaYellow card · Santa Clara
  11. 90′Pedro FerreiraYellow card · Santa Clara
  12. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 54′Casa Pia · 1 player changeLipe
  • 57′Santa Clara · 1 player changeJoão Vasconcelos
  • 70′Santa Clara · 2 player changesLuis Fernando · Vitinho
  • 73′Casa Pia · 2 player changesGabi Pereira · João Goulart
  • 77′Santa Clara · 2 player changesHenrique Silva · Leo Jacó
  • 79′Casa Pia · 1 player changeAymen Zouin
  • 80′Casa Pia · 1 player changeEvans Fabrice Maurin

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Casa Pia
1Draws
3Santa Clara
Casa Pia — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga0–0
Santa Clara — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga1–0
Santa Clara — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga2–1
Casa Pia — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga0–2
Casa Pia — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Casa Pia favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Santa Clara in 12 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Casa Pia8 matchesSanta Clara8 matches
0.38 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.5 goals/match
2.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 0.5 goals/match
0.84 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.26 xG/match
9.63 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 13.3 shots/match
2.63 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 3.5 shots/match
43.9%Possession8/8● 47.3%
4 corners/matchCorners8/8● 4.13 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls8/813.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCasa PiaSanta Clara
CompetitionPrimeira Liga
Head-to-headCasa Pia — Santa Clara
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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