PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2026

Casa Pia vs Santa Clara · Primeira Liga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.171.83
Expected goals
0.681.4
Shots
10.213.7
Possession
44.3%44.7%

30-second read

What the record shows

The season records do not separate these clubs, so the strongest stored context is their shared history: 5 meetings, 1 to Casa Pia, 1 drawn, 3 to Santa Clara. From this fixture's own record: casa Pia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Past meetings are history, not a forecast.

Casa Pia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Casa Pia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsCasa Pia · Santa Clara13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCasa PiaSanta ClaraBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against16 shots/match8.17 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Casa Pia's recent record differs from the season

weak

Casa Pia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.17 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Casa Pia favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Santa Clara in 12 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Casa Pia6 matchesSanta Clara6 matches
0.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 1.83 goals/match
2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 0.67 goals/match
0.68 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.4 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 13.7 shots/match
2.67 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 4.17 shots/match
44.3%Possession6/6● 44.7%
4.17 corners/match ●Corners6/63.5 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls6/613.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Casa Pia
1Draws
3Santa Clara
Casa Pia — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga0–0
Santa Clara — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga1–0
Santa Clara — Casa Pia · Primeira Liga2–1
Casa Pia — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga0–2
Casa Pia — Santa Clara · Primeira Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCasa PiaSanta Clara
CompetitionPrimeira Liga
Head-to-headCasa Pia — Santa Clara
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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