PitchMath
Primeira Liga · 2026

Académico Viseu FC 2–1 Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Académico Viseu FC won 2–1.

Shots
1515
Shots on target
69
Expected goals
0.731.36
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Académico Viseu FC beat Estoril Praia 2–1. Recorded in this match (Académico Viseu FC – Estoril Praia): shots 15–15, shots on target 6–9, expected goals 0.73–1.36, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Estoril Praia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Estoril Praia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsAcadémico Viseu FC · Estoril Praia13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAcadémico Viseu FCEstoril PraiaBaseline
Shots10 shots/match13 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against17.4 shots/match14 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Estoril Praia have a visible away split

weak

Estoril Praia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match13 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Estoril Praia's recent record differs from the season

weak

Estoril Praia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.5 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots15 shotsAcadémico Viseu FC 15 shots, Estoril Praia 15 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots9 shotsAcadémico Viseu FC 6 shots, Estoril Praia 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.73 xG1.36 xGAcadémico Viseu FC 0.73 xG, Estoril Praia 1.36 xG
  • Possession51%49%Académico Viseu FC 51%, Estoril Praia 49%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersAcadémico Viseu FC 2 corners, Estoril Praia 5 corners
  • Fouls24 fouls9 foulsAcadémico Viseu FC 24 fouls, Estoril Praia 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardAcadémico Viseu FC 3 cards, Estoril Praia 1 card
  • Passes438 passes421 passesAcadémico Viseu FC 438 passes, Estoril Praia 421 passes
  • Pass accuracy82.4%80.8%Académico Viseu FC 82.4%, Estoril Praia 80.8%
  • Shots inside box7 shots10 shotsAcadémico Viseu FC 7 shots, Estoril Praia 10 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block1 blockAcadémico Viseu FC 1 block, Estoril Praia 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves8 saves3 savesAcadémico Viseu FC 8 saves, Estoril Praia 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideAcadémico Viseu FC 1 offside, Estoril Praia 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 27′Jordan HolsgroveYellow card · Estoril Praia
  2. 29′Cihan KahramanGoal · Académico Viseu FC
  3. 31′Cihan KahramanYellow card · Académico Viseu FC
  4. Half-time
  5. 56′Rafik GuitaneGoal · Estoril Praia
  6. 60′Soufiane MesseguemYellow card · Académico Viseu FC
  7. 73′Anthony CorreiaYellow card · Académico Viseu FC
  8. 88′Soufiane MesseguemGoal · Académico Viseu FC
  9. Full time
Player changes · 7grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Estoril Praia · 1 player changeNail Omerović
  • 67′Académico Viseu FC · 2 player changesAlejandro Mestanza · Nils Mortimer
  • 74′Estoril Praia · 2 player changesPedro Carvalho · Tiago Parente
  • 83′Académico Viseu FC · 1 player changeÁlvaro Zamora
  • 89′Estoril Praia · 1 player changePeixinho

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Académico Viseu FC
  1. EwertonG
  2. Nikolaos MichelisD
  3. Miguel Ángel BrauD
  4. Anthony CorreiaD
  5. RobinhoD
  6. Luís SilvaM
  7. Cihan KahramanM
  8. Soufiane MesseguemM
  9. João GuilhermeF
  10. André ClóvisF
  11. Lorougnon GohiF
Estoril Praia
  1. Joel RoblesG
  2. Ricard SánchezD
  3. Antef TsounguiD
  4. Xavi SintesD
  5. Roko JurišićD
  6. Jordan HolsgroveM
  7. João CarvalhoM
  8. Milan RobinM
  9. André LacximicantF
  10. Samuel AmissahF
  11. Rafik GuitaneF

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Académico Viseu FC favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Estoril Praia in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Académico Viseu FC8 matchesEstoril Praia8 matches
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/80.5 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.5 goals/match
1.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/80.89 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 13 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 5 shots/match
47.4% ●Possession8/846.5%
2.63 corners/matchCorners8/8● 4.88 corners/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls8/811 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAcadémico Viseu FCEstoril Praia
CompetitionPrimeira Liga
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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