Primeira Liga · 2026

Académico Viseu FC vs Estoril Praia · Primeira Liga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.170.33
Expected goals
1.110.8
Shots
9.512.5
Possession
47.8%45%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: estoril Praia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: estoril Praia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Estoril Praia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Estoril Praia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.33 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Estoril Praia have a visible away split

weak

Estoril Praia's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.33 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Estoril Praia show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Estoril Praia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAcadémico Viseu FC · Estoril Praia12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAcadémico Viseu FCEstoril PraiaBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against18 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Académico Viseu FC favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Estoril Praia in 7 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Académico Viseu FC6 matchesEstoril Praia6 matches
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/60.33 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.11 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/60.8 xG/match
9.5 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 12.5 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 4.17 shots/match
47.8% ●Possession6/645%
2.83 corners/matchCorners6/6● 4.5 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls6/612 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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