Primeira Liga · 2026

Marítimo vs FC Porto · Primeira Liga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.142.5
Expected goals
0.942.41
Shots
10.415.3
Possession
45.1%55.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: FC Porto's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: FC Porto have recorded the higher season possession share. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

FC Porto have a visible away split

weak

FC Porto's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match15.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

FC Porto show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Porto's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsMarítimo · FC Porto15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMarítimoFC PortoBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match15.3 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match10.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Porto have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.1%PossessionMarítimo · FC Porto● 55.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMarítimoFC PortoBaseline
Possession45.1%55.8%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Marítimo favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · FC Porto in 13

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Marítimo7 matchesFC Porto6 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/6▲ 2.5 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed7/6▲ 0.33 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals7/6▲ 2.41 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots7/6▲ 15.3 shots/match
3.14 shots/matchShots on target7/6▲ 6.17 shots/match
45.1%Possession7/6● 55.8%
3 corners/matchCorners7/6● 7.5 corners/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls7/613.2 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Marítimo
1Draws
3FC Porto
Marítimo — FC Porto · Primeira Liga0–2
FC Porto — Marítimo · Primeira Liga5–1
FC Porto — Marítimo · Primeira Liga2–1
Marítimo — FC Porto · Primeira Liga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness28 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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