Primeira Liga · 2026

Vitória SC vs Marítimo · Primeira Liga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.631.13
Expected goals
1.60.85
Shots
17.610
Possession
53.5%44.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: vitória SC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Alongside it: vitória SC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Vitória SC's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vitória SC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.63 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Vitória SC have a visible home split

weak

Vitória SC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

22.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season17.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots22.8 shots/match17.6 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Vitória SC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vitória SC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.6 shots/match ▲ShotsVitória SC · Marítimo10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVitória SCMarítimoBaseline
Shots17.6 shots/match10 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against9.13 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória SC favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Marítimo in 2 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória SC8 matchesMarítimo8 matches
0.63 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.13 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.75 goals/match
1.6 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/80.85 xG/match
17.6 shots/match ▲Shots8/810 shots/match
4.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83.25 shots/match
53.5% ●Possession8/844.8%
5.75 corners/match ●Corners8/82.88 corners/match
15.8 fouls/matchFouls8/815.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Vitória SC
0Draws
0Marítimo
Marítimo — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga1–2
Vitória SC — Marítimo · Primeira Liga1–0
Marítimo — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga0–1
Vitória SC — Marítimo · Primeira Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness13 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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