Primeira Liga · 2026

Vitória SC vs Marítimo · Primeira Liga

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.711.14
Expected goals
1.760.94
Shots
1910.4
Possession
55.7%45.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: vitória SC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Vitória SC show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Vitória SC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19 shots/match ▲ShotsVitória SC · Marítimo10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVitória SCMarítimoBaseline
Shots19 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against7.14 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Vitória SC have a visible home split

weak

Vitória SC's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

22.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season19 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots22.8 shots/match19 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Vitória SC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Vitória SC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.71 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória SC favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Marítimo in 2 · 1 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória SC7 matchesMarítimo7 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed7/71.71 goals/match
1.76 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/70.94 xG/match
19 shots/match ▲Shots7/710.4 shots/match
4.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/73.14 shots/match
55.7% ●Possession7/745.1%
5.71 corners/match ●Corners7/73 corners/match
14.7 fouls/matchFouls7/715.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Vitória SC
0Draws
0Marítimo
Marítimo — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga1–2
Vitória SC — Marítimo · Primeira Liga1–0
Marítimo — Vitória SC · Primeira Liga0–1
Vitória SC — Marítimo · Primeira Liga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness34 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 Oct 2026, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primeira Liga

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